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Anastassia Makarieva's avatar

I’d like to respond here to Cliff Krolick’s comment https://substack.com/@emissionscritical/note/c-135240626 regarding the potential role of river dams in Arctic warming.

From my perspective, in order for this idea to gain broader attention, it might be helpful to include some basic quantitative arguments. These wouldn’t need to be detailed calculations, but even rough, first-principles estimates showing that a river dam of a given area could plausibly cause a warming of significant magnitude would strengthen the case. Simply stating that dams are large and have been there for a long time, while true, may not be persuasive on its own.

If such order-of-magnitude estimates were presented (and I haven’t seen them so far), they might prompt some researchers, especially those currently focused on topics already shown to quantitatively matter, to reconsider their priorities and take a serious look at this potentially important direction.

As for the seasonal asymmetry in Arctic warming, it could also be related to the seasonal variability of atmospheric circulation patterns. In winter, most precipitation is concentrated over the ocean and is generally higher than in summer, when moisture tends to be drawn inland (as shown in the graphs linked here https://bioticregulation.ru/ab.php?id=taac ). To convincingly argue that river dams help explain these seasonal patterns, again, some basic quantitative reasoning would be beneficial.

Peace2051's avatar

What a great teacher you are to accommodate your audience's wide need to understand the biotic pump phenomenon coming from different directions of thought. This essay makes it very clear. And the short video at the end is very beautiful and a call to save and restore forests everywhere. Bravo! (The historical references to Hertz and others are fascinating!)

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